Research · Scope
Where each measure holds, limit by limit
Each published measure holds inside a scope. The rows below name the limit, its scope and the control that exists today. Measured 2026-09-29 on the development lot, engine commit 7a86f874.
Lot
Measures taken on the development lot
The published figures were taken on the development lot. The engine was built while that lot was read, and the protocol declares it. A figure here measures progress on known cases, and stays silent on cases the engine has yet to meet.
Scope
Each limit with its scope and control
- Calibration is pooled
- the error pools 75,998 served probabilities; the largest families carry most of that count, and some smaller families sit above it
- Coverage covers 3 families
- measured where the engine serves a forecast range, out of 13 in the bench; two of them share part of their series
- Silence varies by family
- the share without a winner is weighted by case; a family with few cases can decline far more often
- Observed price changes
- the outcome is revenue before and after a real price change; prices were chosen by the seller, and the counterfactual was unobserved
- Replay and accuracy
- a trace shows that a calculation repeats; predictive accuracy is tested by the bench
- Your own figures
- a result on your decision depends on the ranges you declare, which the bench has not seen
- Other products
- the registry holds no run of another product; the measures compare the engine with its baselines and controls
Use